Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mizell | 38 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Sigiscar | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Dormu | 32 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Douglas | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| F. Hicks | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Porter Jr. | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| O. Owens | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Isaac | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Vrabel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hubbard | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Z. Wright | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Smith | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Y. Rivera | 26 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Venzant | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Newton | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Hornecker | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Hill | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Alston | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter