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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Utah Valley Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mason 28 8-15 0-4 4-6 2 2 2 0 0 20 11 -
M. McCreary 26 3-7 0-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
R. Seamster 26 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
C. Chavis 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 3 2 0 4 6 4 -
C. Jackson 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Laster 16 2-5 0-1 3-6 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
M. Rigsby Jr. 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 3 4 -
J. Lowery 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
A. Reed 14 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 2 1 2 6 -
J. Smoot 14 0-0 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 2 4 7 -
M. Goodman 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hendricks 37 7-7 4-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 18 21 -
T. Leonhardt 35 4-8 2-5 2-2 2 6 5 0 1 12 16 -
B. Housley 24 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 3 1 -
I. Davis 22 3-4 0-1 5-6 3 0 2 2 1 11 13 -
J. Holcombe 20 2-6 1-2 2-3 1 3 4 1 2 7 8 -
N. Taitz 19 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
H. Welling 19 1-5 0-3 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
I. Hawkins 17 4-7 1-1 5-5 4 0 0 1 0 14 12 -
T. Weaver 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Medaris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Karram 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
AJ Riggs 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter