Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyran Mason | 28 | 8-15 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -9.7 |
| Marcell McCreary | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -12.1 |
| Raysean Seamster | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -10.6 |
| Casmir Chavis | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -10.8 |
| Cameron Jackson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -16.0 |
| Bahsil Laster | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Jordan Lowery | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -8.9 |
| Amari Reed | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +6.0 |
| Jayden Smoot | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Miles Goodman | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.6 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hendricks | 37 | 7-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | +24.8 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +25.0 |
| Braden Housley | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Isaac Davis | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +11.5 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +10.2 |
| Noah Taitz | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +13.8 |
| Hayden Welling | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Isaac Hawkins | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Tyler Weaver | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| Tyler Medaris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Joul Karram | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| AJ Riggs | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter