Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | -1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Jackson | 42 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 6-10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +13.9 |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 40 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 10-15 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | +11.0 |
| Martel Williams | 39 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Jonathan Griman | 37 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | +11.0 |
| Bradey Henige | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +9.8 |
| Nate Garcia | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Muller | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Rene D'Amelio | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Devon Malcolm | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Miles Daniels | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.0 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary | 40 | 6-20 | 2-12 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Raysean Seamster | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Casmir Chavis | 28 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Bahsil Laster | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Cameron Jackson | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -11.2 |
| Tyran Mason | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -15.4 |
| Amari Reed | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3.5 |
| Miles Goodman | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Jordan Lowery | 13 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | -8.3 |
| Jayden Smoot | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.0 |
* = starter