Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Hayhurst | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -11.9 |
| Jaiden Feroah | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -13.0 |
| Dylan Jones | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Jalen Lee | 21 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Kai Burdick | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -11.6 |
| Elijah Duval | 19 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -12.8 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -8.3 |
| Cale Barclay | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -3.6 |
| Brayden Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Zeplin Kidd | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +11.8 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +15.2 |
| Raysean Seamster | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | +13.7 |
| Tyran Mason | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Jayden Smoot | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Casmir Chavis | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +14.5 |
| Jordan Lowery | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Amari Reed | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Bahsil Laster | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | +4.4 |
| Cameron Jackson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +14.1 |
| Miles Goodman | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Alex Bossinakis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter