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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Utah Valley Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - ✓

Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Casmir Chavis 34 7-13 1-4 5-6 3 3 0 0 4 20 9 -16.8
Marcell McCreary 33 5-9 2-4 3-4 5 0 2 0 0 15 13 -1.6
Raysean Seamster 24 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 3 1 4 6 3 -16.0
Tyran Mason 18 2-7 1-1 3-5 5 1 1 0 0 8 8 +7.4
Miles Goodman 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 3 3 4 -10.4
Marcus Rigsby Jr. 16 2-4 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 -13.5
Jayden Smoot 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 5 +8.1
Bahsil Laster 14 1-4 0-3 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -3.2
Cameron Jackson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.9
Amari Reed 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 2 +9.7
Jordan Lowery 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 +10.0

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Holcombe 37 6-15 0-2 4-6 8 5 1 2 2 16 15 +8.4
Trevan Leonhardt 37 6-10 0-2 2-2 9 6 3 0 2 14 20 +9.2
Tyler Hendricks 35 5-9 2-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 12 10 +10.9
Braden Housley 28 2-3 1-2 1-4 2 2 0 0 2 6 5 +2.3
Hayden Welling 19 4-10 1-4 5-6 2 1 0 0 0 14 7 +4.8
Noah Taitz 17 2-3 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 6 7 +1.5
Isaac Davis 17 5-7 0-0 4-8 5 0 0 0 2 14 10 +9.1
Isaac Hawkins 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 4 4 -5.8
Sherman Weatherspoon IV 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.5

* = starter