Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | Utah Tech Trailblazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Tech Trailblazers +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McDowell | 36 | 10-24 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 13 | -2.5 |
| K. Isaac | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Chris Mpaka | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Leroy Kelly Iv | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Jordan Mizell | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1.4 |
| D. Johnson | 19 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Dj Dormu | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.3 |
| O. Owens | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Kade Douglas | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Matyas Vrabel | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -4.9 |
Utah Tech Trailblazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Davis | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | +1.5 |
| J. Holt | 34 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | +8.6 |
| Ethan Potter | 33 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +5.3 |
| Noah Bolanga | 33 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | +8.4 |
| C. Trujillo | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +6.5 |
| B. Berrett | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9.7 |
| S. Ariyibi | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Dario Domingos | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter