Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +22 (74-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -15.1 |
| Joseph Venzant | 33 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -13.6 |
| B. Hubbard | 28 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | -11.1 |
| Y. Rivera | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -13.4 |
| C. Alston | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Hornecker | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Z. Wright | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| J. Scott | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +3.7 |
| I. Dye | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6.7 |
| M. Hill | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| I. Carrillo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| T. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Feroah | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +16.3 |
| Tanner Hayhurst | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +15.7 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 29 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 23 | +10.8 |
| Dylan Jones | 28 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Elijah Duval | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Jalen Lee | 18 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Cale Barclay | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Kai Burdick | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Brayden Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Zeplin Kidd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Chuks Isitua | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter