Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Feroah | 33 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Elijah Duval | 29 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Tanner Hayhurst | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +10.7 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 26 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Dylan Jones | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Jalen Lee | 23 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Cale Barclay | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Kai Burdick | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Logan Stephens | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.8 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 38 | 7-28 | 1-6 | 5-9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | -6 | +1.1 |
| Jayden Jackson | 33 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Jordan Muller | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -9.4 |
| Jonathan Griman | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Bradey Henige | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Thomas Ndong | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | -7.1 |
| Miles Daniels | 16 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +3.8 |
| Devon Malcolm | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Rene D'Amelio | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | +11.2 |
* = starter