Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raysean Seamster | 38 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +16.9 |
| Marcell McCreary | 34 | 12-16 | 8-11 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 31 | +19.3 |
| Bahsil Laster | 27 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +13.2 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +8.5 |
| Cameron Jackson | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +17.3 |
| Casmir Chavis | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Jordan Lowery | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Miles Goodman | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Tyran Mason | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Amari Reed | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Jayden Smoot | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.3 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Jones | 35 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -14.5 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -16.9 |
| Jaiden Feroah | 31 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -5.5 |
| Elijah Duval | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | -15.3 |
| Tanner Hayhurst | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -11.7 |
| Cale Barclay | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Jalen Lee | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -7.4 |
| Kai Burdick | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
* = starter