Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.1% | 19.9% | -7.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -6 (85-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Leonhardt | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | -3.5 |
| J. Holcombe | 35 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | -1.0 |
| B. Housley | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -3.1 |
| H. Welling | 25 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -3.4 |
| N. Taitz | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| T. Hendricks | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -2.9 |
| I. Hawkins | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | -0.7 |
| S. Weatherspoon IV | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.6 |
| I. Davis | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -2.5 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hicks | 40 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +4.4 |
| D. Johnson | 32 | 12-21 | 3-5 | 9-12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 17 | +2.2 |
| C. McDowell | 32 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 12-12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 15 | +1.9 |
| L. Kelly IV | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +3.4 |
| K. Isaac | 28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.5 |
| J. Mizell | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +2.9 |
| K. Douglas | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +0.9 |
| C. Mpaka | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
| D. Dormu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter