Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | -4.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Woodson | 38 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Payton Hull | 34 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Emma Troxell | 32 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -2.5 |
| Breanna Davis | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Natalia Chavez | 26 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Emma Daugherty | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11.3 |
| Jazmyn Stone | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Riley Grohman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Aimee Flippen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.9 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Chambers | 40 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 5 | +3.3 |
| K. Doman | 40 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.9 |
| A. Uhrich | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +7.7 |
| B. Fely | 35 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 27 | +14.3 |
| D. Kiernan | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +4.1 |
| B. Hasan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.5 |
| D. Anderson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.1 |
| A. Banks | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
| M. Trigueiro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
* = starter