Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Reynolds | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | +4.9 |
| N. Threatt | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -3 | +6.2 |
| Amiyah Reynolds | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -2.1 |
| A. Goudeau | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3.2 |
| M. Reynolds | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +12.3 |
| K. Haizlip | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +1.7 |
| J. Atchison | 18 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +4.6 |
| K. Robinson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +6.5 |
| J. Rodriguez | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.2 |
| L. Bello | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| E. Sellers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Woodson | 39 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | -3.4 |
| Emma Troxell | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Payton Hull | 31 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Natalia Chavez | 23 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Breanna Davis | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jazmyn Stone | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Emma Daugherty | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.2 |
| Jordyn Coleman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Riley Grohman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Molly Daugherty | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Aimee Flippen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter