Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -12 (63-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 33 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kamari Lands | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tre Green | 27 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jahvin Carter | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sean Smith | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Alec Oglesby | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Loofe | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Luka Jovanovic | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jarred Hall | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Whitlock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Dent Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr | 37 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Kobi Williams | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Keith Palek III | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Zaxton King | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Melakih Cunningham | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyrique Brooks | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darrion Sutton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Boone | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Logan Epes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter