Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Newell | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Teagan Moore | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Armelo Boone | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| LJ Hackman | 22 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Terrion Murdix | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Blaise Keita | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Myers | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Leeroy Odiahi | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cade Stinnett | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kade Unseld | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jack Edelen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cam Haffner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Noah Boyde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr | 38 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Zaxton King | 29 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Keith Palek III | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kobi Williams | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Melakih Cunningham | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Darrion Sutton | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyrique Brooks | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Boone | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Antwan Burnett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Logan Epes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter