Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill | 43 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 5-11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | -12.9 |
| Jamar Franklin | 37 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -3.0 |
| Jaye Nash | 34 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -12.2 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 28 | 5-18 | 2-3 | 11-15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | -11.9 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +10.0 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.1 |
| AC Bryant | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.4 |
| Toby Nnadozie | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.8 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 40 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 9-13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 21 | +14.7 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 30 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Julius Mims | 29 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +5.6 |
| Gabe Pickens | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Jayland Randall | 26 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Chris Terrell | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Elijah Elliott | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.7 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.2 |
* = starter