Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +5 (86-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 40 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | -5.5 |
| Keith Palek III | 37 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16 | +1.6 |
| Melakih Cunningham | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Tyrique Brooks | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +9.9 |
| Cameron Boone | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Darrion Sutton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Zaxton King | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Logan Epes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Walker | 38 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Po'Boigh King | 35 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | +7.6 |
| Veljko Ilic | 28 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +13.9 |
| Jacobe Coleman | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Kashie Natt | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +5.3 |
| CJ Beaumont | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Matt Dann | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -9.4 |
* = starter