Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1 (86-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 39 | 13-24 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 17 | +0.9 |
| Julius Mims | 39 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Gabe Pickens | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Jayland Randall | 25 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +12.6 |
| Chris Terrell | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Elijah Elliott | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Cyr Malonga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Loofe | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 18 | -0.1 |
| Torey Alston | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 | -4.9 |
| Jahvin Carter | 33 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | +5.1 |
| Tre Green | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +7.4 |
| Marcus Whitlock | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Kamari Lands | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | -7.3 |
| Sean Smith | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Alec Oglesby | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.5 |
| James Dent Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.9 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
* = starter