Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams | 37 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| K. Palek III | 35 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 14 | - |
| T. Williams Jr. | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Osei-Bonsu | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Z. King | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Burnett | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Sutton | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Cunningham | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Boone | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dudley | 38 | 10-19 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| A. Bates | 38 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Allen | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Martinez | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - |
| K. Cooper | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Fenner | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Williams Jr. | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Howze | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter