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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville State Gamecocks Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 32 14-23 1-6 9-12 4 0 4 0 1 38 22 -12.0
Jaye Nash 30 2-5 1-1 2-2 3 5 1 0 0 7 11 -1.8
AC Bryant 27 3-9 2-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 8 5 -10.9
Emondrek Erkins-Ford 24 3-10 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 9 2 +0.6
Jacoby Hill 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -11.7
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. 17 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -16.3
Jamar Franklin 16 4-4 3-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 11 9 +13.1
Toby Nnadozie 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +7.1
Iaroslav Niagu 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 4 -4.1
Thomas Tut 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 +12.7
Aitor Anabitarte 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.3

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacob Walker 37 5-13 0-3 7-7 3 3 0 0 1 17 9 +11.3
Po'Boigh King 36 5-13 3-7 6-6 0 2 2 0 1 19 9 -8.9
Kashie Natt 32 3-7 2-3 7-8 10 1 0 0 3 15 16 +11.4
Damon Nicholas Jr. 28 3-7 1-3 2-3 6 2 0 0 1 9 9 +5.0
Jacobe Coleman 23 4-5 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 9 10 +1.1
Veljko Ilic 21 3-3 0-0 1-4 3 3 0 0 3 7 7 +4.3
Matt Dann 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 3 0 6 9 +0.4
CJ Beaumont 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.7

* = starter