🐻⬇️🏀

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 70
@
Sam Houston Bearkats 78
2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 ✓ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - ✓

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Alston 34 7-12 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 1 0 16 13 -
J. Carter 32 4-11 3-5 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 11 8 -
A. Oglesby 29 4-9 2-7 2-4 1 0 1 1 0 12 6 -
S. Smith 27 5-13 1-5 0-0 2 6 2 1 2 11 7 -
K. Lands 27 1-9 0-5 1-2 3 2 1 1 1 3 0 -
C. Loofe 25 6-6 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 1 15 16 -
L. Jovanovic 16 1-1 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 1 0 2 10 -
T. Green 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Dent Jr. 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. King 35 3-12 1-4 5-5 1 3 0 0 1 12 3 -
J. Walker 32 5-10 2-4 8-8 2 3 0 0 2 20 13 -
D. Nicholas Jr. 31 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 4 -
J. Coleman 28 4-10 0-3 0-0 8 4 0 0 0 8 10 -
V. Ilic 22 7-18 0-0 1-2 9 5 1 0 1 15 11 -
K. Natt 22 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 9 10 -
M. Dann 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 6 10 -
CJ Beaumont 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 3 1 3 9 -

* = starter