Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands | 34 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Tre Green | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Smith | 28 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Luka Jovanovic | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Alec Oglesby | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Torey Alston | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Chris Loofe | 17 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Whitlock | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jahvin Carter | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Murdix | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Grant Newell | 30 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Teagan Moore | 26 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 13-15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| LJ Hackman | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Myers | 24 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kade Unseld | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Blaise Keita | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Leeroy Odiahi | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cam Haffner | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jack Edelen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter