Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | -0.1 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -9 (70-79). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 22 | +11.5 |
| Jemel Jones * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Gabe Pickens * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -10.3 |
| Elijah Elliott | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 12-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +9.0 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +4.8 |
| Chris Terrell | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Jayland Randall | 13 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +13.3 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.5 |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil * | 30 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -11.9 |
| Iaroslav Niagu * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10.0 |
| AC Bryant * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -11.0 |
| Jaye Nash | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Toby Nnadozie | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Aitor Anabitarte | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.7 |
* = starter