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2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Missouri State Bears Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Missouri State Bears -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas II 48 7-11 4-5 1-4 9 0 3 1 1 19 20 -
S. Williams Jr. 45 5-15 0-3 5-6 6 4 1 2 3 15 10 -
A. Bates 38 2-12 0-2 2-2 2 6 1 0 2 6 1 -
K. Cooper 37 6-14 1-6 4-4 13 0 2 0 1 17 17 -
W. Allen 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 4 3 4 6 -
D. Dudley 18 4-7 0-1 0-2 1 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
M. Martinez 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 4 6 3 -
J. Fenner 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
S. Herron 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 -

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Palek III 45 6-17 0-3 6-6 4 2 2 0 6 18 3 -
M. Osei-Bonsu 43 9-16 0-0 4-8 13 1 4 5 4 22 25 -
K. Williams 37 8-19 6-15 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 24 8 -
T. Williams Jr. 36 0-7 0-4 1-2 4 4 1 2 3 1 2 -
A. Burnett 32 2-6 1-2 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 5 10 -
Z. King 31 1-5 1-4 3-6 3 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
M. Cunningham 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sutton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
C. Boone 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Epes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Brooks 2 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter