🐻⬇️🏀

Liberty Flames 77
@
New Mexico State Aggies 75
2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames New Mexico State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 73.4% 26.6% - ✓
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 ✓ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - ✓
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% - ✓

Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Porter 38 6-15 3-7 0-0 4 5 1 0 1 15 9 -
Z. Cleveland 38 5-9 0-0 5-6 14 4 0 2 1 15 25 -
K. Metheny 36 7-14 4-11 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 18 3 -
J. Harper 33 7-11 2-4 3-3 1 4 3 0 0 19 16 -
B. Decker Jr. 33 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
J. Smith 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Carter 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Yates 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 33 10-19 3-5 0-0 2 4 3 1 0 23 14 -
J. Mims 33 10-13 1-2 0-0 13 0 0 0 0 21 21 -
A. Wrzeszcz 30 3-10 2-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
J. Osborne 28 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 4 10 -
C. Terrell 23 4-5 1-1 3-3 3 6 0 1 3 12 14 -
E. Elliott 17 1-6 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
G. Pickens 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
J. Randall 13 0-5 0-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
K. Mullen 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter