Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 35 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Keith Palek III | 29 | 9-17 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Zaxton King | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Trey Williams Jr | 25 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Antwan Burnett | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Melakih Cunningham | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tyrique Brooks | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Boone | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Darrion Sutton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cleveland | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 37 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Kaden Metheny | 37 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Colin Porter | 35 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Josh Smith | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| JJ Harper | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Zander Carter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Jones Jr. | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter