Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Osborne | 35 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Mims | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| A. Wrzeszcz | 30 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 29 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| G. Pickens | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Elliott | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Randall | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Terrell | 11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Ekwe | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dudley | 38 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| J. Fenner | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Bates | 31 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams Jr. | 30 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| K. Howze | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Allen | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Thomas II | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Martinez | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Herron | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter