Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill | 37 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -5.0 |
| Jaye Nash | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -5.1 |
| AC Bryant | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Toby Nnadozie | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +7.0 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford | 14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Jamar Franklin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| T. Tut | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Palek III | 38 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Kobi Williams | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | +4.9 |
| Antwan Burnett | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Trey Williams Jr | 29 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Zaxton King | 21 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -8.2 |
| Darrion Sutton | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Logan Epes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Cameron Boone | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.1 |
* = starter