Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -9 (71-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashie Natt | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +9.7 |
| Justin Begg | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Jacob Walker | 28 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Po'Boigh King | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Veljko Ilic | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Jacobe Coleman | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Matt Dann | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +3.9 |
| CJ Beaumont | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King | 37 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -4.9 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Keith Palek III | 33 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 | -10.9 |
| Antwan Burnett | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Darrion Sutton | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -11.1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 21 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | -5.1 |
| Logan Epes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Cameron Boone | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Tyrique Brooks | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Melakih Cunningham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
* = starter