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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 โœ— (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—

Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -16 (65-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colin Porter 37 3-10 2-9 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 0 +23.0
Zach Cleveland 34 6-9 0-0 2-2 6 9 2 0 2 14 20 +17.8
Kaden Metheny 34 11-14 6-9 1-2 5 3 1 0 0 29 24 +19.0
Brett Decker Jr. 33 5-7 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 8 +12.1
JJ Harper 33 5-8 0-1 3-4 3 0 1 1 1 13 9 +15.7
Zander Carter 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -3.3
Josh Smith 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 +7.7
Zander Yates 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.1
Drew Grimes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
TJ Drain 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Ryan Jones Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0
Torr Sorensen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Torey Alston 38 7-10 0-0 6-9 12 1 0 1 2 20 22 -11.8
Jahvin Carter 32 4-10 1-4 1-1 2 2 1 0 0 10 5 -12.1
Sean Smith 31 6-11 4-7 3-4 3 3 1 1 3 19 13 -1.6
Luka Jovanovic 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 0 5 +3.6
Kamari Lands 21 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 1 -13.1
Marcus Whitlock 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 +2.5
Chris Loofe 17 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -18.4
Alec Oglesby 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -11.6
James Dent Jr. 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.8
Tre Green 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.9

* = starter