Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | UTEP Miners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTEP Miners -5 (57-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 37 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +6.3 |
| Keith Palek III | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | +7.5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | +19.5 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Antwan Burnett | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Zaxton King | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Tyrique Brooks | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Darrion Sutton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Cameron Boone | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.7 |
| Logan Epes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
UTEP Miners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Jones | 36 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -4.8 |
| Jamal West Jr. | 36 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | -10.4 |
| KJ Thomas | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Kas. Watson | 31 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +0.9 |
| LA Hayes | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -9.8 |
| Caleb Blackwell | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -4.0 |
| Trey Horton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Cassius Brooks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
* = starter