Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands | 34 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -11.1 |
| Jahvin Carter | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -7.2 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Tre Green | 25 | 4-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Alec Oglesby | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Torey Alston | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -19.2 |
| Chris Loofe | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -23.2 |
| Sean Smith | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -13.0 |
| James Dent Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.2 |
| Marcus Whitlock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Jarred Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +15.3 |
| AC Bryant | 35 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | +16.1 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 31 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +14.9 |
| Jaye Nash | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +15.9 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +14.0 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +6.0 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.1 |
| Jamar Franklin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter