Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -9 (75-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 38 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +10.9 |
| Keith Palek III | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 12-14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | +7.9 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +1.8 |
| Zaxton King | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +14.7 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Antwan Burnett | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyrique Brooks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.7 |
| Cameron Boone | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.8 |
| Darrion Sutton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Logan Epes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.0 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims | 33 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | -7.5 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Jemel Jones | 31 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 16 | +5.8 |
| Elijah Elliott | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +7.4 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -13.1 |
| Jayland Randall | 18 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -17.6 |
| Chris Terrell | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -15.7 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Cyr Malonga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
* = starter