Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 (90-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 45 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -9.4 |
| Keith Palek III | 43 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | -5.7 |
| Zaxton King | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -5.7 |
| Antwan Burnett | 32 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Cameron Boone | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Darrion Sutton | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Melakih Cunningham | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Tyrique Brooks | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Collin Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands | 44 | 7-14 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 15 | +5.8 |
| Torey Alston | 43 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 23 | +5.6 |
| Chris Loofe | 39 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | +10.5 |
| Alec Oglesby | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Sean Smith | 27 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Jahvin Carter | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Tre Green | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Marcus Whitlock | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.2 |
| James Dent Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
* = starter