Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 36 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Julius Mims | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Jemel Jones | 33 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +12.6 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +14.2 |
| Elijah Elliott | 22 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Chris Terrell | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Jayland Randall | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -16.0 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| Gabe Pickens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Decker Jr. | 36 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Zach Cleveland | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -5.6 |
| Kaden Metheny | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +0.5 |
| JJ Harper | 34 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +1.2 |
| Colin Porter | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -7.9 |
| Josh Smith | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Zander Carter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.5 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
* = starter