Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wrzeszcz | 36 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | +3.6 |
| J. Mims | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -3.9 |
| J. Jones | 33 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +12.6 |
| J. Osborne | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +14.2 |
| E. Elliott | 22 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +2.8 |
| C. Terrell | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +0.5 |
| J. Randall | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -16.0 |
| K. Mullen | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.1 |
| G. Pickens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Decker Jr. | 36 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Z. Cleveland | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -5.6 |
| K. Metheny | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +0.5 |
| J. Harper | 34 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +1.2 |
| C. Porter | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -7.9 |
| J. Smith | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Z. Carter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.5 |
| R. Jones Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
* = starter