Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 37 | 2-12 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Keith Palek III | 35 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Trey Williams Jr | 31 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Antwan Burnett | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Zaxton King | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Darrion Sutton | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Boone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Newell | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Myers | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Teagan Moore | 28 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Terrion Murdix | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Armelo Boone | 25 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| LJ Hackman | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Noah Boyde | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Blaise Keita | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Leeroy Odiahi | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cam Haffner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter