Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +1 (59-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lands | 34 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -5.2 |
| J. Carter | 30 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -3.2 |
| T. Alston | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -7.2 |
| C. Loofe | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -1.1 |
| A. Oglesby | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +0.9 |
| L. Jovanovic | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -0.2 |
| J. Dent Jr. | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +9.8 |
| S. Smith | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +3.9 |
| T. Green | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4.2 |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dudley | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | +4.2 |
| A. Thomas II | 36 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +8.2 |
| J. Fenner | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +15.8 |
| A. Bates | 33 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +11.2 |
| M. Martinez | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +19.0 |
| S. Williams Jr. | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Herron | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -10.0 |
| K. Cooper | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.1 |
| W. Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.0 |
| K. Howze | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| K. Rowell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter