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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Sam Houston Bearkats Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% -
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Cleveland 38 11-16 0-0 1-2 7 10 2 2 5 23 23 +9.0
C. Porter 37 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 5 2 0 3 7 9 +6.2
K. Metheny 36 1-7 0-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 1 +7.2
B. Decker Jr. 35 5-9 1-4 5-7 1 1 0 2 1 16 10 +8.0
J. Harper 27 7-10 3-5 3-4 1 4 1 1 1 20 16 +11.2
Z. Carter 12 1-1 1-1 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 6 7 +5.5
J. Smith 10 2-3 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 1 0 8 10 +10.5
Z. Yates 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8
R. Jones Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
D. Grimes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0

Sam Houston Bearkats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. King 39 6-12 2-7 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 14 9 -9.9
J. Begg 33 5-11 1-5 2-2 1 6 0 0 5 13 4 -6.1
K. Natt 30 7-14 2-4 4-4 8 1 5 1 0 20 21 -2.1
J. Walker 23 2-3 2-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 5 9 2 -1.5
V. Ilic 21 3-8 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 0 4 8 7 -9.2
D. Nicholas Jr. 21 1-7 1-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 3 3 -4.4
I. Manning 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -10.2
J. Coleman 15 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 -5.4
J. Ford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.9

* = starter