Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Loofe | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Torey Alston | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +7.6 |
| Jahvin Carter | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Alec Oglesby | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Kamari Lands | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -12.3 |
| James Dent Jr. | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Sean Smith | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +11.7 |
| Tre Green | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.2 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Julius Mims | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Jemel Jones | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Elijah Elliott | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | +1.5 |
| Cyr Malonga | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Gabe Pickens | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Jayland Randall | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -2.6 |
* = starter