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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville State Gamecocks Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.2% 79.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AC Bryant 38 7-13 5-11 3-3 3 2 0 0 2 22 12 -2.3
Jacoby Hill 31 2-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 6 3 -12.9
Emondrek Erkins-Ford 29 8-11 1-1 7-8 3 1 1 2 0 24 20 +3.1
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil 29 3-15 0-4 2-2 8 0 0 1 3 8 -1 -12.2
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. 26 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 3 -7.2
Jaye Nash 23 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 4 1 0 2 5 8 +6.7
Iaroslav Niagu 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 2 8 +6.4
Toby Nnadozie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.2

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kaden Metheny 38 7-13 5-9 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 22 12 +7.0
Colin Porter 37 4-10 2-5 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 13 7 +7.0
Zach Cleveland 34 4-9 0-0 2-5 10 7 0 1 1 10 18 +13.3
Brett Decker Jr. 32 4-8 1-5 7-8 2 1 1 0 2 16 10 +9.5
JJ Harper 28 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 1 0 3 4 +0.0
Josh Smith 21 3-6 0-0 6-6 8 0 0 0 0 12 14 -3.4
Zander Carter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -13.7
Zander Yates 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.3
Ryan Jones Jr. 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +3.4

* = starter