Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. King | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -8.8 |
| V. Ilic | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -3.6 |
| D. Nicholas Jr. | 29 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +6.2 |
| J. Walker | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +7.2 |
| K. Natt | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -12.0 |
| J. Begg | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -8.0 |
| J. Coleman | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.4 |
| I. Manning | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.7 |
| J. Ford | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +7.9 |
| CJ Beaumont | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.7 |
| M. Dann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Oglesby | 36 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +4.2 |
| J. Carter | 33 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2.9 |
| C. Loofe | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +5.9 |
| K. Lands | 28 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | -4.1 |
| T. Alston | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 4 | +14.8 |
| S. Smith | 19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +5.1 |
| T. Green | 17 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -9.5 |
| L. Jovanovic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.7 |
* = starter