Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 32 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Julius Mims | 30 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | +1.5 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +7.8 |
| Elijah Elliott | 27 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Gabe Pickens | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Jayland Randall | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Cyr Malonga | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -12.1 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Chris Terrell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 39 | 8-11 | 7-9 | 9-10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 25 | -2.9 |
| Keith Palek III | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | -10.1 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Antwan Burnett | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zaxton King | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Darrion Sutton | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +13.0 |
| Logan Epes | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.8 |
* = starter