Model Predictions
| Model | UTEP Miners | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +24 (79-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTEP Miners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KJ Thomas | 35 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -10.3 |
| Kas. Watson | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -13.7 |
| Jamal West Jr. | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -11.0 |
| Elijah Jones | 28 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -12.3 |
| Trey Horton | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Cassius Brooks | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -12.3 |
| C.J. Smith | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -15.1 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.4 |
| LA Hayes | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +7.3 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Jordan Hernandez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 39 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +13.9 |
| Zaxton King | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +15.0 |
| Keith Palek III | 30 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Trey Williams Jr | 27 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +7.1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +16.4 |
| Antwan Burnett | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Darrion Sutton | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +13.1 |
| Melakih Cunningham | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.8 |
| Cameron Boone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Tyrique Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Logan Epes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
* = starter