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2025-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.1% 91.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +11 (84-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cori Allen 35 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 4 3 0 2 3 10 -5.7
Daejah Richmond 30 5-12 0-2 2-5 1 2 3 1 5 12 2 -7.0
Chae Harris 27 6-15 1-5 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 13 4 +10.1
Jordan Hunter 27 3-6 0-1 5-5 3 2 2 0 1 11 11 -4.8
Tamya Smith 18 5-9 0-2 1-3 0 2 0 0 2 11 2 -1.0
Paris Gaines 17 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 3 -10.2
Amauri Williams 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 +6.7
Kennedi Alexander 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.6
Brooklyn Alexander 10 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 8 +4.5
Bailey Gilmore 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.1
JahNaesia Spiers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Waheed 34 4-6 3-4 6-7 9 4 0 1 1 17 24 +7.2
S. Wyatt 32 11-17 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 0 1 22 12 -10.4
B. Moore 30 6-7 1-1 7-10 11 2 0 2 3 20 25 +6.7
Shaulana Wagner 29 2-8 0-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 8 4 -6 +7.0
K. Lavelle 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 +1.2
D. Abies 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 5 1 0 2 4 9 +15.8
J. Grant 17 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 11 6 +7.1
A. Little 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 2 -1.1
J. Donald 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2.8

* = starter