Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Nicholas Jr. | 29 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Po'Boigh King | 28 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Kashie Natt | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -3.2 |
| Justin Begg | 26 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Veljko Ilic | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13.9 |
| Jacobe Coleman | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Isaiah Manning | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -11.4 |
| Jacob Walker | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -14.0 |
| Jaxson Ford | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Matt Dann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| CJ Beaumont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 28 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Elijah Elliott | 22 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Gabe Pickens | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Jayland Randall | 20 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +16.0 |
| Jemel Jones | 18 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +12.6 |
| Chris Terrell | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Cyr Malonga | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Augustine Ekwe | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter