Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Thomas | 40 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -11.8 |
| Paris Bradley | 39 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | -10.7 |
| Jordan Marshall | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | -11.2 |
| Isla Airey | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Robyn Lee | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -12.3 |
| Averi Aaron | 18 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Autumn Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.3 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Wong | 38 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +5.5 |
| Nevaeh Thomas | 36 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +13.3 |
| Elyce Knudsen | 34 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Addison Martin | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Shannon Dowell | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | +10.9 |
| Trista Fayta | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Doneelah Washington | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +8.6 |
| Lauren Cohen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter