๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“

Actual: Troy Trojans +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elisaldez 38 8-14 2-4 3-4 1 7 1 0 7 21 9 -1.9
K. Murphy 38 2-9 2-8 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 6 1 -2.1
G. Corbitt 29 7-13 3-5 3-4 7 1 3 0 1 20 17 -2.4
S. Olafsdottir 27 3-7 2-4 2-2 5 4 1 0 1 10 12 -1.9
B. Anya 27 4-7 0-1 1-2 7 3 0 0 1 9 11 -1.9
A. Card 21 2-7 2-5 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 3 +0.0
F. van der Schans 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 +0.0
J. Moore 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zay Dyer 32 8-18 0-2 2-4 10 2 0 1 3 18 10 +2.5
Briana Peguero 30 3-7 1-4 1-1 2 1 2 0 1 8 5 +2.4
Fortuna Ngnawo 27 6-11 0-0 5-7 9 2 2 1 3 17 17 +2.5
Shaulana Wagner 26 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 8 1 0 2 11 16 +0.7
Ashley Baez 24 5-6 2-3 1-2 3 2 4 0 2 13 14 +2.4
Leilani Guion 19 1-4 1-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 +2.5
Brianna Jackson 18 4-5 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 2 2 11 13 +0.4
Emani Jenkins 15 2-8 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 -1 +0.3
Khila Morris 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +0.3
Adriana Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

* = starter