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2025-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 10.4% 89.6% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -
Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +34 (112-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ogunbowale 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 5 3 -
P. Bueckers 23 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
D. Carrington 17 1-3 0-1 4-4 5 0 0 0 4 6 4 -
N. Smith 16 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 8 6 -
A. James 16 3-8 2-4 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 10 7 -
M. Siegrist 15 5-10 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 11 2 -
K. Charles 15 2-5 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 6 1 -
T. McCowan 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
JJ Quinerly 13 7-10 0-0 2-3 2 2 2 1 0 16 13 -
M. Hines-Allen 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 0 6 -
J. Holmes 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Vonleh 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Yamamoto 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
M. Scott 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Herbert Harrigan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Forbes 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 29 6-14 3-8 13-13 5 9 3 0 0 28 31 -
C. Gray 24 6-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 13 11 -
A. Nye 22 6-11 5-8 0-0 2 2 2 1 1 17 12 -
A. Wilson 22 7-17 1-4 4-5 7 3 0 2 2 19 12 -
J. Loyd 21 3-7 1-3 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 10 7 -
K. Stokes 20 1-2 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 1 0 4 12 -
T. Mitchell 19 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
C. Bradford 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 0 2 9 -
K. Bell 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 5 -
D. Kelly 7 4-5 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 9 4 -
H. Turner 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
E. Kitley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Q. Egbo 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter