Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +1 (85-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Thomas * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 15 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Natasha Mack * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 16 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Alexis Prince | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Brown | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. McConnell | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Makurat | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Poindexter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Heal | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jewell Loyd * | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Nye | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Crystal Bradford | 17 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Kelly | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| H. Turner | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Kitley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Queen Egbo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter