Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sug Sutton | 31 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Dolson | 23 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Citron | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 21 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| A. Prechtel | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Olsen | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Z. Green | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacey | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Cave | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marion Jones | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 33 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 28 | 4-17 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Turner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Timpson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Y. Ejim | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter